On 28 February 2013, the Sussex Centre for Conflict and Security Research (SCSR) released a policy brief entitled ‘Ending Colombia’s Internal Conflict: Prospects for Peace with the FARC and Beyond’. The policy brief is available here in English and Spanish.
For the press release see here.
On 30 November 2012 UCL Institute of the Americas published a Policy Brief on the Colombian peace talks entitled Colombia: Towards Ending the Longest Armed Conflict in the Western Hemisphere?, prepared by Andrei Gomez Suarez and Par Engstrom. Here is the executive summary:
After successive past attempts to reach peace agreements there are important reasons to be optimistic that the current talks between the government of Juan Manuel Santos and the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia-Peoples’ Army (FARC-EP) may lead to a political solution of the armed conflict in Colombia. A close examination of the ongoing peace talks suggests that a confluence of factors provides a window of opportunity for negotiations, including a positive international context, on-going structural reforms in Colombia, and the willingness of the parties to focus on a limited negotiating agenda. There are nonetheless two key issues of concern that may derail the incipient peace process: first, is the Santos administration able to ensure the support of influential regional elites in Colombia? Such support will be central for the provision of political guarantees and security of demobilised FARC members. Second, will the FARC leadership be able to prevent the splintering of the organisation? The fragmentation of FARC could potentially increase violence, which could not only transform the armed conflict, but also directly affect the process of ensuring the political participation of FARC following the signing of a peace agreement.
The policy brief is available for download here.